BRP’s Picks – May 1st,
2012
YTD (21-11) +10.85 Units
8:05 P.M. – New York
Mets (Jonathon Niese) @ Houston Astros (J.A. Happ)
The Mets come into this game as one of the more surprising
teams in baseball, getting off to an impressive 13-10 start so far this
season. The Astros come in to this game
as a bit of a surprise as well, as there 9-14 record is actually better than
most people expected. The talent gap
between the Astros and every other team in baseball is one that should start
showing its colors soon though.
Jonathon Niese is an ACE, and he is about to prove to
everyone this year that what I just said is the truth. He is the kind of kid who after getting his
major contract is going to go out there and work hard to prove that he deserves
it. Niese has pitched so far this season
to a 2.81 E.R.A. and a WHIP below 1, and those numbers are still skewed from
his opening day start where he was left in just a bit too long.
J.A. Happ is a below average pitcher, always has been,
always will be. Happ has a career E.R.A.
of over 4, and he seems to be regressing at the age of 29. It might be to do with him losing interest
pitching for a bad team, but his E.R.A. of 5.35 last season was absolutely
atrocious. He has gotten off to a 4.7
E.R.A. so far this season, and is showing no signs of turning the sinking ship
around.
This pitching matchup is not fair, Mets roll at home!!!
Mets RL -1 at +115 (3
units to win 3.45)
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7:05 P.M. – Texas
Rangers (Neftali Feliz) @ Toronto Bluejays (Drew Hutchinson)
The Rangers look like a whole different animal this year,
can this team really be this good, I think the answer may be yes. The Rangers come into this game at 17-6 on
the season, and even more impressively at 9-1 on the road this year. The Bluejays are playing good ball as well,
they come into this game at 12-11 on the season, but just 6-7 at home.
Neftali Feliz is an absolute stud in the making as a 23 year
old he is just being stretched out into a starter. Feliz seems to have settled in to his role as
a starter farily well, as his E.R.A. this year as a starter is an impressive
2.70, which is right on line with his career E.R.A. overall. Feliz should be rested after basically being
given his last start off to keep him fresh, look for him to be exactly that today!
Drew Hutchinson is another one of those young guys (21 years
old), who is not that highly touted, and is pitching to match that. The Bluejays have a lot of great arms in the
minors, but this is not one of them, and is probably why they are willing to
take the risk on tossing him out there.
His 6.1 E.R.A. to go along with his impressive 1.74 WHIP in his first 2
starts should be nice for the Rangers bats to feast on tonight!
Much better hitting team, with the higher pedigree pitcher,
Roll!!!
Rangers RL -1 at +100
(3 units to win 3)
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10:15 P.M. – Miami
Marlins (Ricky Nolasco) @ San Francisco Giants (Matt Cain)
The Marlins have been a massive disappointment this season,
as the overhyped team has gotten off to an 8-14 start this season, as well as a
horrible 2-9 start on the road. The
Giants have started the year at 12-10, and have been playing well at home
getting off to a 6-3 start on the year.
Ricky Nolasco is not a good pitcher, pitcher for a
struggling team, who can’t play on the road.
Nolasco’s career E.R.A. of 4.46 is pretty terrible, but that E.R.A. has
been eclipsed as of late with a 4.76 E.R.A. over the last 3 seasons. Nolasco’s name still carries some value for
some reason, and I know it does for me as well, but not in the way that it does
for most people apparently.
Matt Cain has rewarded the Giants for giving him that big
contract, he has rewarded them very, very nicely so far. Cain has had a sub 3 E.R.A. over his last 3
seasons, including an impressive 2.81 E.R.A. at home. Cain has been dominant
since signing his contract too, posting a 2.37 E.R.A., and 0.63 WHIP in his
first 4 starts this year. Oh, and at
home, he has done alright too, just posting 2 complete game shut outs, while
allowing 3 hits and striking out 15 batters, yea, decent!
Cain against the Marlins on the road, I like my chances,
Roll!!!
Giants RL -1 at +110 (2
units to win 2.2)