Saturday, July 7, 2012

Chips on the Block: The 10 Most Valued Commodities at the July 31st Deadline

By: Blake Hopper

     Matt Garza, Cubs   
Garza tops my list of the best available trade pieces for
two reasons:  He can remain under club control through 2013,
and I like what I have seen out of him in the playoffs.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  60%
·      Potential Suitors:  Yankees, Braves, Red Sox, Rangers, Dodgers
·      Prediction:  Traded to Yankees

    Zack Greinke, Brewers
Greinke comes in a close second on this list.  His physical
abilities are comparable to Garza’s.  But, he will demand a
$100 million dollar plus contract in the offseason and I have
concerns as to how he will perform in October. 

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  80%
·      Potential Suitors:  Braves, Dodgers, Rangers
·      Prediction:  Traded to Rangers

       Fransisco Liriano,  Twins
Most people would disagree with valuing Liriano this high,
but has anyone watched him pitch for the last month? 
He has a very friendly contract and is the perfect low-risk,
high-reward guy on which to take a gamble.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  70%
·      Potential Suitors:  Braves, Yankees, Dodgers,
·      Prediction:  Traded to Braves

     Carlos Quentin, Padres
Quentin is the best hitter likely to be available.  If there
weren’t such a shortage of pitching, he would rank higher on the list.  His power is off the charts, and on a half season rental, his history of injuries shouldn’t scare teams.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  55%
·      Potential Suitors:  Phillies, Pirates, Indians, Tigers
·      Prediction:  Traded to Phillies
  Fransisco Rodriguez, Brewers
Teams are always in need of relief help at the deadline
and Rodriguez has all the experience necessary to perform
in crunch-time.  He helped lead the Angels to their 2002
World Series win and pitched with Milwaukee in the playoffs
last year.  He is the best reliever available.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  60%
·      Potential Suitors:  Angels, Red Sox, Tigers,
·      Prediction:  Traded to Angels

       Ryan Dempster, Cubs
Dempster may have ranked higher on the list if he hadn’t
landed on the disabled list.  Also, his first-half numbers
indicate that some regression is due in the second-half
of the season.  Still, an established veteran who could provide
solid value as a 3rd or 4th starter.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  70%
·      Potential Suitors:  Dodgers, Yankees, Braves, Tigers
·      Prediction:  Traded to Dodgers



      Matt Capps, Twins
Capps will likely be the 2nd best reliever available on the market,
and as always, teams will be searching for help at the deadline.
No team should try and acquire Capps in hopes of finding their closer,
but he would be a major help in a setup role.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  70%
·      Potential Suitors:  Yankees, Tigers, Reds, Phillies
·      Prediction:  Traded to Tigers

     Todd Helton, Rockies
       Although it may be considered blasphemy in Denver, Colorado
       should certainly explore dealing the lifetime Rockie.  With a weak
       market of hitters available, teams should be lining up to
       acquire the services of the proven veteran.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  5%
·      Potential Suitors:  Rangers, Pirates, Indians
·      Prediction:  Stays with Rockies

      Jeff Francoeur, Royals
Francoeur makes the list for one simple reason:  Royals’ farmhand
Wil Myers.  It is possible that Kansas City could jump back into the
division race in the weak A.L. Central, but with Myers performing
so well in Omaha, Francoeur has one foot out of the door already.

·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  40%
·      Potential Suitors:  Pirates, Indians, Phillies, Dodgers
·      Prediction:  Stays with Royals

 Wandy Rodriguez, Astros
I waffled back and forth here between Rodriguez and the Mariners’
Jason Vargas as to which left-hander was a more valuable commodity.
I settled with Rodriguez due to the fact that the two players’ statistics
are nearly the same, but Vargas pitches in a much more pitcher friendly
environment.  Therefore, Wandy is the choice.
·      Likelihood of Being Traded:  75%
·      Potential Suitors:  Yankees, Dodgers, Tigers, Rangers
·      Prediction:  Traded to Tigers




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